Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.119915 3.744936 4.444598 5.283161 6.258037 7.352700 8.671848
2025-06-01 2.208568 2.996286 3.973108 5.262362 6.906690 8.920057 11.556360
2025-06-08 1.672378 2.518819 3.662808 5.297128 7.542380 10.484823 14.591858
2025-06-15 1.299227 2.147523 3.384013 5.275070 8.041217 11.876373 17.516025
2025-06-22 0.978649 1.767477 3.001991 5.012741 8.126402 12.666436 19.657082
2025-06-29 0.791835 1.548696 2.810431 4.981864 8.513451 13.888078 22.490024
2025-07-06 0.648599 1.368161 2.640964 4.945866 8.866104 15.066897 25.339463
2025-07-13 0.586972 1.320287 2.683710 5.259313 9.803798 17.220763 29.854208
2025-07-20 0.516134 1.238010 2.648150 5.424660 10.501178 19.039688 33.973957
2025-07-27 0.468370 1.191868 2.670292 5.692016 11.395295 21.247112 38.884567
2025-08-03 0.400534 1.086594 2.557884 5.686547 11.792187 22.636148 42.523836
2025-08-10 0.326413 0.948801 2.354199 5.470413 11.767797 23.279095 44.921651
2025-08-17 0.260358 0.815082 2.138290 5.204051 11.628393 23.725467 47.054863
2025-08-24 0.221936 0.742458 2.045791 5.183775 11.969276 25.076147 50.907011
2025-08-31 0.192629 0.686867 1.982861 5.218168 12.422276 26.670206 55.316467
2025-09-07 0.164988 0.628146 1.901009 5.196429 12.752201 28.049300 59.416329
2025-09-14 0.131759 0.541459 1.729999 4.937566 12.538950 28.337345 61.450937
2025-09-21 0.112818 0.495353 1.657741 4.907100 12.824214 29.642652 65.541569
2025-09-28 0.096584 0.453208 1.587914 4.871580 13.091779 30.928101 69.673522
2025-10-05 0.092559 0.455269 1.647266 5.180893 14.194036 34.038223 77.666722
2025-10-12 0.084738 0.440086 1.651910 5.344071 14.962871 36.490606 84.462269
2025-10-19 0.080052 0.436293 1.691375 5.607936 16.000469 39.591896 92.775721
2025-10-26 0.069854 0.405303 1.637663 5.602539 16.371145 41.257406 98.184666